IN THE NEWS: UK RENT AND COVID-19

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A recent article published by the RICS regarding the challenges of rent collection in the UK during the COVID-19 pandemic and the varying picture across regions and asset types featured the thoughts on the situation from Remit Consulting’s Steph Yates. 

Steph is acknowledged as the industry expert on the topic as, over the last nine years, she has conducted the firm’s regular REMark Study which has researched rent and service charge collection along with other trends and issues within the UK's property management sector.   

Since March quarter day, Steph has been working in conjunction with the British Property Federation (BPF), the RICS, Revo, the Agents Advisory Group and other members of the Property Industry Alliance (PIA), recording the amount of rent and service charge collected by managing agents and self-managed funds.  The research is based on the reconciled figures for rent and service charge payments recorded as part of the reporting processes to pension funds, REITS and other institutional investors and covers around 125,000 leases on 31,500 prime commercial property investments nationwide.   

The following is an extract from the RICS article

“Since the start of lockdown Remit Consulting has worked alongside the RICS, BPF, and other industry leaders, to build on REMark, its rent and service charge collection survey that’s been running since 2010 – what observations have they drawn from their data during this period? 

“The data comes from 125,000 leases on 31,500 prime commercial property investments across the country and is based on consolidated figures from the largest managing agents, REITs and funds. 

“Our data showed that, following the government’s moratorium on re-entry or forfeiture of commercial leases for non-payment of rent, the rate of collection plateaued, with many tenants apparently choosing not to pay despite the introduction of the government’s Code of practice for the commercial property sector.   

“The research allowed RICS and other partners to keep the government informed about the crisis in the property sector, with up-to-date, accurate and verified information.  

“The latest data reveals that while the trajectory of the collection rates for the June Quarter is mirroring that witnessed during the March Quarter, initial collection levels have fallen and the shortfall this time looks likely to be even bigger than in March. 

“Using market size numbers from the IPF, we calculated that the shortfall for March equated to £1.5bn of lost rent across the whole property investment market, so a £3bn shortfall over the two quarters is quite plausible. This prospect is a big concern for pension funds and insurance companies, as a fall in their income will inevitably hit the wider population, many of who have finances that rely on these institutions. 

“In 2019, Remit Consulting’s RICS insight paper The use and value of commercial property data highlighted that the industry was already at a tipping point with regard to the exponential growth of real estate data. The pandemic has brought data analysis into sharp focus and confirms our industry’s need to develop data standards that are open-sourced and applicable globally.” 

Steph Yates, Remit Consulting

NEWS RELEASE: COLLECTION OF COMMERCIAL PROPERTY RENTS REMAIN LOWER THAN PREVIOUS QUARTER

Latest research from Remit Consulting indicates that investors are facing another significant shortfall this quarter 

 The UK’s property market is on course for more stormy waters as the collection rate of rent and service charges for commercial property continues to falter, according to the latest figures from Remit Consulting regarding the payments that were due on June Quarter Day. 

The data shows that, overall, 35 days after the due date just 63.3% of rents and 64% of service charge payments have been received from business occupiers.  The rate of collection of rent continues to mirror the pattern recorded in the previous quarter but remain around 10% lower and another significant shortfall at the end of the quarter looks likely.   

“We calculated that the loss to pension funds, REITS, and other institutional investors at the end of the previous quarter stood at £1.5 billion.  The trajectory of the current quarter gives no suggestion that investors will fare any better this time around," said Steph Yates, senior consultant at Remit Consulting. 

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“It was hoped, with anecdotal evidence of landlords and tenants agreeing monthly payment plans, that there might have been a noticeable increase in rent payments. This should have been evident in the figures for collection at 35 days, but there is no sign of this. With the moratorium on forfeiture for non-payment of rent by tenants of commercial property still in place, there still appears to be a divide between those trying to pay what they owe and those choosing not to. 

“The moratorium remains in place until just after the next quarter day at the end of September and the government’s handling of this will be crucial to investors. With the inevitable backlog that will be faced by the courts, this is not a situation that is going to be resolved in the short-term,” she added. 

The retail and leisure sectors were, once again, the worst-performing asset types for the June +35 day figures with 50.5% of rents collected from retail occupiers and 41.3% from leisure occupiers. The Leisure sector has seen a doubling of rents collected since the June due date, possibly reflecting the easing of restrictions on the sector.  

Remit Consulting’s research also reveals that, for the first time since the REMark Report was undertaken in 2010, the overall collection of service charges was higher, at 64%, than that of rent. This may imply that both landlords and tenants are prioritising building maintenance and ‘keeping the lights on’ over rent. 

Since the beginning of lockdown in the UK, the management consultancy has been working in conjunction with the British Property Federation (BPF), the RICS, Revo, the Agents Advisory Group and other members of the Property Industry Alliance (PIA), recording the amount of rent and service charge collected by managing agents and self-managed funds. The research is based on the reconciled figures for rent and service charge payments recorded as part of the reporting processes to pension funds, REITS and other institutional investors and covers around 125,000 leases on 31,500 prime commercial property investments nationwide.  

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NEWS RELEASE: INSTITUTIONAL INVESTORS AND COMMERCIAL PROPERTY LANDLORDS BRACING FOR ANOTHER MAJOR SHORTFALL IN RENTS

Projections suggest another shortfall in commercial property rents for the June Quarter, similar to the £1.5 billion estimated to have been unpaid in the previous quarter.

Institutional investors, asset managers and landlords of commercial properties are bracing themselves for another substantial shortfall in income, according to the latest research by Remit Consulting, which suggests that the UK property market is on track for a further major shortfall this quarter of similar proportions to the £1.5 billion pounds that was not paid by tenants during the three-months following March Quarter Day.

Working in conjunction with the British Property Federation (BPF), the RICS, Revo, the Agents Advisory Group and other members of the Property Industry Alliance (PIA), Remit Consulting’s ongoing study into the amount of rent and service charge collected by managing agents and self-managed funds and is based on the reconciled figures for rent and service charge payments recorded as part of their reporting processes to many of the main pension funds, REITS and other institutional investors. The study covers around 125,000 leases on 31,500 prime commercial property investment properties across the country.

The latest confirmed figures for collection rates of rent and service charge payments since June Quarter Day show that they are on the same trajectory as in the previous quarter, with the overall collection of rent after 21-days 8% lower, at 59 %, compared to 67% three months ago. In March 2019 collection rates for rent were around 97% after 21-days.

Steph Yates, a senior consultant at Remit Consulting, said: “Based on the IPF’s figures for the total value of property investments in the UK, the percentage of rent collected and recorded for our survey revealed a shortfall to the UK’s property sector of £1.5 billion for the March quarter. With the overall collection of rents due on June Quarter Day down by 11% on the March figures, and the rate of increase closely mirroring the figures from three months ago, our projections suggest that the industry could be facing another major shortfall of income this quarter.

“At the end of the previous quarter, the shortfall in rent payments was about 18% overall. After 21-days of this quarter, the overall collection figure was already 8% lower that at the same stage three months ago. Unfortunately, the projections for the remainder of this quarter will bring little comfort to investors and asset managers.

“At some stage this lost income will have to be written off, to the detriment of the annual returns for pension funds, insurance businesses, REITS and other investments. This will then begin to impact the incomes of large parts of the population and the wider economy,” she added.

Property owners in the retail and leisure sectors were, once again, the hardest hit with less than half of rent and service charge payments having been made three weeks after the June Quarter Day due date.

Paul Bagust, RICS Global Property Standards Director, said: “These new figures confirm that the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic are being felt very deeply. The current position places a huge burden on all parties − occupiers, owners and managing agents. It is critical that all parties work together flexibly to recognise these challenges and create an approach that’s proportionate and appropriate for each set of unique circumstances.”

Vivienne King, Chief Executive at Revo, added: “June Quarter Day has left property owners with a staggering £1.5 billion shortfall, with the loss of income most severe in the retail property sector. As we move past the quarter day the prospects of collecting any further rent is likely to reduce, with repercussions for owners, their lenders as well as the pension funds and savers who trustingly place their savings directly or indirectly in retail property. Government must re-examine how it can provide support for the retail sector, which is integral to economic recovery and the Chancellor’s pledge to protect jobs.”

Quarterly Rent Collection

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NEWS RELEASE:

OVER £1.5 BILLION MISSING FROM UK’S PROPERTY INVESTMENT MARKET OVER DURATION OF MARCH QUARTER 2020

Retailers accounted for over half of the rent unpaid 90-days after the March Quarter Day

Institutions and other investors in the UK property sector experienced a shortfall of over £1.5 billion in rental income over the March Quarter, with over half of the shortfall being due from the retail sector, according to the latest research by Remit Consulting.

Working with the British Property Federation, RICS, PIA, Revo and other professional bodies, and based upon the analysis of 125,000 property leases, Remit Consulting has been studying the collection of rent and service charge payments by the UK’s biggest property management companies since the start of the Covid-19 lockdown in March.

...a shortfall of £1.5 billion over the three-month period with the retail sector accounting for £780 million of this total.
— Steph Yates, Remit Consulting

“The finalised figures for the total rent collected 90-days after the March Quarter Day reveal that, overall, just 82% of payments due were received by institutions and other property investors in the UK market. Based on data from the IPF, regarding the total value of UK property investments, this equates to a shortfall of £1.5 billion over the three-month period with the retail sector accounting for £780 million of this total,” said Steph Yates, senior consultant at Remit Consulting.

“The data for the beginning of the current quarter shows that collection rates are on an almost identical trajectory. With average collection on the June due date over 11% lower than three months earlier, investments in the UK property could see an even bigger shortfall this quarter,” she added.

Melanie Leech, Chief Executive, British Property Federation said: “The pensions and savings funds invested in commercial property clearly cannot continue to sustain rental losses on this scale, fuelled by the Government moratorium on property owners’ rights of action which has encouraged well-capitalised businesses to ignore their rental obligations. Those who can pay should pay. Meanwhile for the hardest hit tenants forced to stop trading and unable to meet their rental debts, we continue to work with other property owner and occupier trade bodies to press government for support to help them with their fixed property costs.”

Phil Clark, Global Head of Real Assets Equity at Kames Capital, said: “The pandemic has created a shock that is still rippling through the economy and not surprisingly a number of commercial property tenants have seen revenues decline and are struggling to meet their rent obligations. This also has a direct impact on our clients who are pension funds. The majority of responsible tenants and investors are working together to find reasonable solutions for both parties but there is no avoiding the fact that some businesses simply won’t be able to pay and some pension funds will receive less income as a result.”

UK rent and service charge collection data (March Quarter Day 2020 +90 days)

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Rent

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Service Charge

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NEWS RELEASE:

INSTITUTIONS AND OTHER INVESTORS FACING SUBSTANTIAL SHORTFALLS IN INCOME DUE TO NON PAYMENT OF RENTS AND SERVICE CHARGES ON COMMERCIAL PROPERTIES

  • Research suggests that the projected shortfall in rent and service charge could be over £943million

Institutional investors and other landlords of commercial properties could be facing even bigger shortfalls in income in the current quarter compared to the first three months of the Covid-19 lockdown, according to the latest research by Remit Consulting.

Working in conjunction with the British Property Federation (BPF), the RICS, Revo, the Agents Advisory Group and other members of the Property Industry Alliance (PIA), Remit Consulting’s ongoing study into the amount of rent and service charge collected by managing agents and self-managed funds reveals that collection rates since June Quarter Day closely resemble the pattern for the previous quarter, but starting from a lower level.

Steph Yates, a senior consultant at Remit Consulting, said: “The data suggests that the collection rates are on a similar trajectory to three months ago but with quarterly income at a lower level to begin with. Unless there is a significant upswing in payments across the board, it is feared that the situation for institutions and other investors could turn out to be worse than the previous quarter in terms of income levels.

“Based upon the 125,000 leases analysed, regarding 31,500 separate commercial properties, our research suggests that the pension funds and institutions involved could see a shortfall in their expected income of around £943 million by the end of the current quarter.'“

“The first seven days of the quarter indicates that the collection rates of rent and service charge closely resembled those recorded following March Quarter Day and that the percentage increases over the first week are very close to those seen previously.  In March, however, 49% of rents were collected on the due date, along with 37% of service charge payments. By comparison the respective figures were 37.8% and 33% for June Quarter Day.  Seven-days after the due date the overall figure for rent collected had risen to 50.7% and overall service charge payments had risen to 46.3%.”

Remit Consulting’s research is based on the reconciled figures for rent and service charge payments collected by the country’s largest property managers as part of their reporting processes to many of the main pension funds, REITS and other institutional investors.

Melanie Leech, Chief Executive, British Property Federation commented:  “It is disappointing to see rent and service charge collection continue to be depressed across all sectors as a result of the Government’s moratorium on property owners’ rights.

“We continue to work with other property owner and occupier trade bodies to press government for support to help businesses, forced by coronavirus to stop trading, with their fixed property costs. It remains essential however that all businesses who can pay their rent should do so, not only to avoid a mounting debt problem for the business itself but in order to protect the interests of the millions of people whose savings and pensions are invested in commercial property.”

Paul Bagust, RICS Global Property Standards Director, said: “The latest data shows that rent and service charge collection remains a significant issue across a range of asset classes. Given the importance of the commercial property sector to both the economic wellbeing of the country and all those spaces that define our everyday lives, its essential that landlords and tenants continue to work together to find common ground. RICS will continue to work with Government and industry to provide a long term solution.”

Bill Hughes, Head of LGIM Real Assets and Chair of the Property Industry Alliance, commented: “We welcome the Chancellors additional measures to support the hospitality industry in combatting the impact from Covid-19, amidst the ongoing crisis, and the recognition of the important role this sector and the construction industry both have to play in supporting UK jobs. 

“We would like to see this matched with greater support and fairness of treatment for landlords across all sectors, and the pension money that sits behind UK real estate, protecting this important source of long term investment in the built environment and our long term economic growth prospects.”

In the retail sector, seven-days after they were due, just 42.2% of the rent and 37.5% of service charges had been received, rising from 35.5% and 27.6% respectively. High Street retail witnessed the largest percentage increase in rent collection, with a 115% increase over the seven-day period, compared to just 113% increase for shopping centres.

In the leisure sector, the total rent collected from pubs, bars & restaurants rose from 7.3% to 13.6% (representing a 186% increase in collection). This was ahead of the lifting of the government’s restrictions on such properties opening and suggests that operators might have been optimistic about the prospects for their incomes ahead of reopening.

The biggest increase in rent payments was seen in the business and office park sector, where there was a 230% increase in payment of rents, which rose from 36.2% on the due date to 83.3% seven-days later.  The overall collection of rent for all offices rose to 71.2%, suggesting that office occupiers in town and city centres were more reluctant to pay their landlords on time.

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NEWS RELEASE:

GOVERNMENT MORATORIUM ON COLLECTING LATE RENT CONTINUES TO DRIVE BEHAVIOUR OF MANY LARGER TENANTS IN RETAIL AND LEISURE SECTORS

·       Collection of rent and service charge for commercial property on June Quarter Day worse than previous quarter

The government’s moratorium on taking legal action against tenants is changing the behaviour of many commercial tenants according to research compiled by Remit Consulting that also shows the amount of rent and service charges collected for commercial properties on June Quarter Day were even lower than in the previous quarter.

The management consultancy, working in conjunction with the British Property Federation (BPF), the RICS, Revo, the Agents Advisory Group and other members of the Property Industry Alliance (PIA), surveyed the country’s largest property management firms representing many of the main pension funds, REITS and other institutional investors. The research covers around 125,000 leases on 31,500 prime commercial property investment properties across the country.

The reconciled figures reveal that, overall, 37.8% of rent and 33.0% of service charge payments were collected on last week’s due date.

By comparison, Remit Consulting’s previous research for March Quarter Day showed that, overall, 49% of rents were collected along with 37% of service charge payments at the beginning of the UK’s lockdown.  In 2019 the figures for March Quarter Day were 79% and 73% respectively.

The June Quarter Day research also reveals that 53% of retail properties and 63% of leisure properties across the investment portfolios studied are subject to rent concessions, holidays or renegotiations put in place since March.  The comparable figures for industrial and office properties are 27% and 17% respectively.

“While the collection figures are worse than the previous quarter, they are better than many property and asset managers were fearing,” said Steph Yates, a senior consultant at Remit Consulting. 

“The leisure and retail sectors are clearly the worst hit and it appears that it is the large tenants, across all the sectors, that are agreeing concessions more than the small ones. This is the opposite to what was intended in the government’s recently issued code of practice for the commercial property sector and the moratorium on pursuing remedies for late rent is having a significant effect on the market,” she added.

Melanie Leech, Chief Executive, British Property Federation commented: “We warned Government that extending their moratorium on evictions would have an impact on rent collection far beyond the retail, hospitality and leisure sectors at the sharp end of the Covid-19 pandemic and it is disappointing to see that borne out in these figures.

“Government must continue to reinforce the message that those businesses who can pay rent, should pay so that businesses in genuine distress can be helped within the framework of the new Code of Practice.” 

Chief executive of Revo, the Retail Property Community, Vivienne King said: “Rent collection will vary for each property owner, but an average of just 35% paid in the retail sector and 21% in the leisure sector underlines the severe and sudden loss of income, which will have deeper repercussions for lenders, pension funds and savers. The moratorium on statutory demands winding-up petitions and commercial evictions has exacerbated the problem of non-payment, making it very difficult to determine which operator businesses are in genuine distress and which are simply refusing to pay their rent, despite the Government’s Code of Practice.

“We recognise genuine distress exists and urgently call on the Government to provide financial support on rents to restore stability to the retail property ecosystem and secure an industry ready to support the UK’s economic recovery,” she added.

Bill Hughes, Head of LGIM Real Assets and Chair of the Property Industry Alliance, commented: “The decline in rent collected is directly related to the extended government moratorium on landlord rights. We now need to see fairness of treatment for the pensioners that back large swathes of the UK’s real estate.  By encouraging greater alignment between UK’s occupiers and the long term money backing its real estate, we can safeguard the support of long-term capital to invest across the built environment of the UK, including its regions, and support a productive and positive economic bounceback.” 

Paul Bagust, RICS Global Property Standards Director, said: “A flourishing commercial property market isn’t just important for the economic health of the country. By providing a home for everything from retail to hospitality to office space, it shapes our everyday environment and impacts on how we work, live and play. The recently launched Government Code of Practice will help landlords and tenants resolve some of their issues, but fundamentally we are going to have to start reimagining what our town and city centres will look like to ensure they remain the beating hearts of their communities and stay financially viable.”

June Quarter Day rent and service charge collection figures:

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For further information, please contact Steph Yates of Remit Consulting:  steph.yates@remitconsulting.com

June Quarter Day 2020 – the perfect storm?

Lockdown restrictions might be easing in the UK but, for many business and residential tenants, Wednesday 24th June could prove to be a very bleak and possibly a ‘perfect storm’ in terms of landlord and tenant relationships.

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Wednesday is, of course, the June Quarter Day when commercial tenants will be expected to pay their rent and service charge for the next three months and, despite the government extending the moratorium on landlords taking action against tenants for non-payment of rent until the end of September, this will be particularly difficult for those occupiers who have been unable or unwilling, to pay their rent due to Covid-19 and lockdown.  Remit Consulting’s research into the rent and service charge collection of large property management firms showed much lower collection rates than in previous years, and that over half-way through the previous quarter, around 25% of rent and 30% of service charge payments had not been made.

Why is this important? For the average person, whether a shopkeeper, manufacturer or office-based business pays their rent is of no interest. To them the consequence of a landlord not receiving his rent is irrelevant. For those tenants unable, or unwilling, to pay the previous quarter’s bills - the start of the next quarter will be hugely challenging and, for shopping centres and the high street, in particular, casualties have to be expected.

The impact of Covid-19 and the UK’s lockdown has placed strains on many landlord/tenant relationships and, in some cases, the communication between parties has broken down. The recently published government “Code of Practice for commercial property relationships during the COVID-19 pandemic” might help to move the relationships along. It suggests that: “In considering a tenant’s request to renegotiate their rent,” landlords may wish to bear in mind a number of factors, which include “The tenant’s previous track record under its lease terms.”

The impact of what happens on June Quarter Day could have widespread ramifications for the wider economy. It is not just about a few retailers facing bankruptcy (we’ve become used to that news), nor is it just about landlords taking a hit on their income.  What it is also about is the loss of income by pension funds and life assurance businesses and their cash flows when it comes to paying policy holders. It is also about the funding of property developments in the future and the provision of homes and workplaces and the redevelopment of our town centres.

In private, many asset managers and institutional investors are terrified about what might come to pass on June Quarter Day and fear that it could be worse than March Quarter Day, when, on average, less than half of rents due were collected across the residential and commercial sectors.

With a view to getting ahead of the curve, we are aware of asset managers in the commercial sector who, are undertaking detailed analysis to identify businesses which are most likely to be unable to pay their rent as part of their risk assessments. Others in the commercial property market are considering their positions regarding rent deposits and guarantees.

It is fair to say that some asset managers are fearing a large number of insolvencies across their portfolios and any subsequent redundancies could have a direct impact on the residential markets where a tenant’s ability to pay rent is often reliant on them being employed.  The timing of the end of the government’s furlough scheme will be crucial if the economy is to avoid a significant rise in unemployment, which many in the market fear is inevitable.

Immediately following June quarter day, Remit Consulting will be receiving and collating data from property managers, landlords and others in the commercial and residential property markets. The findings will be available soon after.

To receive a copy, or to participate in the study, please contact us now.

NEWS RELEASE:

UPDATED RESEARCH REVEALS COLLECTION OF RENT AND SERVICE CHARGE IN THE UK HAS STALLED

  • Minimal increase in collection rates of March quarter day rent and service charge

  • 25% of rent and 31% of service charge payments remain unpaid after 49-days

  • Fears that this could be “as good as it gets”

  • Attention turns to June quarter day “perfect storm”

The collection of rent and service charge payments that remain unpaid to landlords since the March quarter day has stalled according to ongoing research by Remit Consulting.

Since the beginning of April, Remit Consulting has surveyed six of the UK’s largest property management firms, responsible for nearly 78,700 separate leases on over 18,350 commercial and residential properties across the UK, regarding the collection rates of rents and service charges payable by commercial and residential tenants.

Overall, seven weeks after they were due, just 75% of rent and 69% of service charge payments have been received from commercial and residential tenants in the UK (an increase of 1% for rent and 3% for service charge over the previous seven days).

The retail sector has been particularly hard hit, with only 59% of rent and 58% of service charge payments having been received.  In the residential market, 86% of rent and 67% of service charges have been received by the property managers involved in the report.

“With only a minimal increase in the collection of outstanding rent and service charges over recent weeks, the majority of landlords and property managers have low-expectations that the situation will change between now the next quarter and fear that this could be about as good as it gets. All eyes are now turning to June,” said Steph Yates, a senior consultant at Remit Consulting. 

“For many, the June quarter day will represent the perfect storm.  Having weathered the ride so far, not only will tenants be receiving their rent and service charge demands for the next three months, but the quarter day coincides with the end of the government’s 90-day moratorium on landlords taking action against tenants for non-payment of rent.

“For those tenants unable, or unwilling, to pay the previous quarter’s bills - the start of the next quarter will be hugely challenging and, for shopping centres and the high street in particular, casualties have to be expected.”

Remit Consulting has been surveying major property management companies regarding the collection of rent and service charges since 2010. 

The latest data from Remit Consulting is illustrated below:

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NEWS RELEASE:

Collection of overdue rent during coronavirus lockdown plateaus, according to latest research from Remit Consulting

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  • More than a quarter of all rent and a third of service charge payments are six weeks overdue

  • No increase in rent collections recorded 42-days after March quarter day due date

  • Plateauing of payments provides investors with an indication of likely income for the quarter

  • Government’s announcements appear to have influenced payments

  • Concerns about June quarter day growing among investors and property

The collection of outstanding rent due from residential and commercial tenants appears to have plateaued at an overall average of 74%, according to ongoing research by Remit Consulting.

The latest data analysed by the management consultancy, which has been collecting data regarding the collection of rates and service charges by some of the UK’s largest property management businesses since the March quarter day, reveals that there was no increase in the overall average collection rate of rent over the six weeks since the quarter day due date. The overall collection rate of service charge payments, over the same period, saw a 3% increase to 66%.

“The fact that the rates at which outstanding rent and service charge payments are being received has levelled off gives a degree of certainty to investors regarding the income they can expect this quarter,” said Steph Yates, a senior consultant at Remit Consulting.

“March quarter day, which occurred a few days after the Covid-19 lockdown came into force, saw just 48% of commercial and residential rent being collected by the members of the Property Managers Forum participating in our study. Following an initial period of what appears to be caution and uncertainty among tenants, the overall average collection rate of rent and service charges across the residential and commercial sectors rose steadily over three weeks as tenants seemingly adjusted to the reality of the situation.

“Collection rates then slowed around the time that the government announced protection measures for tenants affected by the coronavirus from aggressive landlords.  Since the week of the government’s announcement, made on the 23rd April, the collection of rent and service charge by property managers has increased by just 7%.

“While the figures show that 26% of rent and 34% of service charge payments remain outstanding overall, the picture in the retail sector is particularly grim.  Around halfway through the Quarter, and six weeks after payment was due, 42% of retail rents and 44% of service charges within the retail sector have still not been received,” said Yates

“Despite the hard work of the industry to collect the money due, the overall shortfall in income is a real concern.  There is a general feeling that this is going to be as good as it gets in this payment period and the attention of investors and their property managers is now being turned towards strategies for the June quarter day,” she added.

Remit Consulting has been surveying members of its Property Managers Forum since the beginning of April and has collected data from some of the UK’s largest property management firms concerning nearly 78,700 separate leases on over 18,350 commercial and residential properties nationwide. 

The latest data is illustrated below:

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Covid-19 Crisis: Minimal Rise in Collection Rates of Quarterly Rent and Service Charge Payments

NEWS RELEASE:

Remit Consulting’s ongoing survey of major Property Management firms reveals:

  • An overall average of 30% of rents and 39% of service charge payments due on March Quarter Day remain outstanding after 28 days

  • Property managers report that “some tenants can’t pay, others won’t pay”

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Remit Consulting’s weekly report into the collection rates of rents by major property management firms reveals that, on average, 30% of rents and 39% of service charges that were due for payment on March quarter day remain outstanding after 28 days. Concerns are growing among property investors and institutions regarding the willingness and ability of some residential and commercial property occupiers to pay due to the ongoing lockdown in the UK.

“The difference between the level of rent and service charge collection at the start of the quarter and 28 days later highlights how hard everyone has been working to secure payments. The overall average for rent collection has risen from 48% on the due date to 70% after 28-days. However, in the last week we have seen only a minimal uplift in the collection rates and there are fears that the ability, or willingness, of some tenants to pay what they owe has levelled off,” said Steph Yates, senior consultant at Remit Consulting.

“The emergency Coronavirus Bill, announced by the UK government just before the Quarter Day, contained provisions that protected commercial tenants from eviction if they were unable to pay their rent because of coronavirus.  This was then followed by a temporary ban on the use of statutory demands and winding up petitions until the end of June.

“While many tenants, who are struggling financially, are reportedly agreeing payment plans and deferring payments with their landlords, there are concerns from property and asset managers that other tenants appear to be burying their heads in the sand or deliberately avoiding paying their bills.

“A situation seems to be evolving where there are some tenants who genuinely can’t pay while others are simply choosing not to pay.  The property managers involved in the survey, and the institutional investors they represent, are expressing their concerns to us on a daily basis regarding the situation and fear that some tenants see the legislation as an excuse to simply to withhold payment of their rent. Their focus is already beginning to shift to the June quarter day as this will coincide almost exactly with the end of the government’s 90-day moratorium,” she added.

Remit Consulting has been surveying members of its Property Managers Forum since the beginning of the quarter, analysing the collection of rent and service charge concerning nearly 78,700 separate leases on over 18,350 commercial and residential properties nationwide.

The figures for all sectors are shown below.

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While the Remit Consulting report seem to indicate a levelling off of collection rates, this may alter over the next week as many tenants with monthly terms will be due to make payments at the end of April/beginning of May.

“It might be that payments have plateaued for this quarter,” said Yates, adding: “Next week’s figures will shed more light on the situation.”

To view an infographic covering a summary of our research to date, click here.

Covid-19 Crisis - Collection rates of rent and service charge remain low for UK commercial and residential property

NEWS RELEASE:

Remit Consulting’s ongoing survey of major Property Management firms reveals:

  • Managing agents report only a marginal increase in collection rates after 21 days of the Quarter

  • More commercial tenants reported to be agreeing monthly payment plans

  • June Quarter Day expected to be a major challenge as Covid-19 impacts UK property markets

Ongoing research by Remit Consulting into the collection of rent and service charge by the UK’s major property managers during the second quarter of the year has confirmed only a marginal increase in the amounts collected within 21 days.

The management consultancy has been surveying members of its Property Managers Forum since the beginning of April and has collected data from six of the UK’s largest property management firms concerning nearly 78,700 separate leases on over 18,350 commercial and residential properties across the UK.  The study initially revealed that only 48% of rents were collected on the Quarter Day due date, rising to 57% after seven days. The updated research shows that by the end of the 21-day period this figure had risen to 67%.

Senior Consultant at Remit Consulting, Steph Yates, said: “Despite the hard work by property managers, there was only a marginal uplift in the rent and service charges being paid by tenants after 21 days.

“While there is anecdotal evidence of an increase in the number of commercial occupiers moving to monthly payment plans, which indicates a change in behaviour, we are not seeing any major uplift in collection rates. This is concerning and property managers and landlords are already worrying about the June Quarter day, particularly as the quarterly payments were due only a few working days after the lockdown was put in place by the government.

“By June there will have been at least seven weeks where many business occupiers will have been economically inactive and cash-flow will have been severely impacted and reserves will have, undoubtedly, dwindled.

“Initial enquiries about rent holidays and concessions show that there is no clear picture yet. Tenant requests continue to come in, and each situation is largely being decided on a case-by-case basis. However, while there are far more requests that would have been seen in any previous year, it does not yet seem to be as widespread as was initially feared by some in the industry.”

The latest figures from Remit Consulting shed further light on the plight of the retail sector and reveal that, three weeks into the Quarter, just over half (54%) of the rent due from retail operators has been collected.

The picture in the residential sector is a little better, with property managers reporting that 68% of this quarter’s rent payments were collected within 21 days (up from 47% after seven days).

The REMark study also reveals that the payment of service charges due by tenants also remains very low as a result of the ongoing Covid-19 crisis, with an overall average, for both commercial and residential property, of 56% after 21 days (compared to 48% after seven-days). In the retail sector, the figure rose to 45% over the first 21 days of the Quarter.

“We are aware that some managing agents struggle with the different priorities when demanding income: while collecting service charges will help the agents to manage the buildings over the coming quarter; landlords are more interested in collecting the rent which may be required to fund the service charge shortfall in due course. Our figures show that, as with previous years, the effort and reward are focused more on rental income,” concludes Steph Yates.

REmark Report: The Impact of Covid-19 on the UK Property Market

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NEWS RELEASE:

COLLECTION RATES OF RENT AND SERVICE CHARGE PLUMMET FOR UK COMMERCIAL AND RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY

Research by Remit Consulting into the collection of rents by leading property managers at the start of the second quarter of the year has revealed that the collection of rent, on the due date, from residential and commercial tenants, was down by as much as 50% compared to the same period in 2019.

The European real estate management consultancy has been able to compare current figures with those of its 2019 “REMark Report”, which included an analysis of rent and service charge collection rates for the same period last year.

Since the beginning of April the firm has surveyed six of the UK’s largest property management firms regarding the collection rates of rents and service charges payable by commercial and residential tenants. Between them, these firms are responsible for nearly 78,700 separate leases on over 18,350 commercial and residential properties across the UK.

The findings illustrate the extent to which the COVID-19 pandemic seems to be impacting the property markets. In 2019 the overall average figure for the collection of rents on the due date was 79%. In April 2020 this figure is 48%.

Overall service charge collection rates (due date) are even lower, falling from 73% in 2019 to 35% in 2020.

Rent and Service Charge Collection rates:

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“While property managers are working hard to mitigate the impact of the pandemic, and further research is needed in coming days to get a clear picture on how agreed rent and service charge ‘holidays’ are impacting collection rates, these figures are likely to make uncomfortable reading for landlords, asset managers and investors,” said Steph Yates, a senior consultant at Remit Consulting.

“In the forthcoming weeks, we will continue to consult with the members of our Property Management Forum regarding the state of the markets. The data we collect will help the forum’s members to identify the possible consequences for the institutions and property investors they represent.”

Remit Consulting is planning to expand the survey over the coming weeks, to include one of the major Landlord associations (which is currently consulting its members regarding their participation).

If you would like to contribute to this research or receive further updates, please email Steph Yates.

Click here to view the Property Week article, and here to view the Financial Times article that relates to this release!

Our Christmas 2019 Newsletter…

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12 days of Remit - one for each of our discoveries this year



Dear friends and clients,

We would like to wish you a very happy Christmas and prosperous New Year. As we've done in previous years, we are donating the cost of sending Christmas cards to the Guide Dogs for the Blind Association.

However, we hope this festive edition of our newsletter will fill you with Christmas cheer, as we look back at 2019. We’ve done a whip around the office to gather together some interesting discoveries from the year, across a range of topics, and we hope you will enjoy our twelve days of Remit…!
 

1.  You may remember our first frontispiece of 2019, back in January, 'Real Estate - a technology battleground?As the year draws to a close, we’re still seeing an increasing amount of tech moving into the marketplace from non-property industries. Asset Managers need more “out-of-the-box” thinkers and a growing number of tech companies view property as just another approachable market. 
 

2.  The last year of the decade has also seen new and emerging FM and PM models starting to be accepted and used by the market for procurement.


3.  Our data paper with the RICS revealed in April that ‘100% of valuers believe that valuation data is the most difficult to get hold of’. This could either challenge the confidence of today’s valuations or protect valuers’ position as experts in analysing the data that is available.


4.  Looking back at our spring frontispiece, ‘Are "Prop-striches" taking their heads out of the data sand?, and with the new insight from Andrew’s trip to RealComm in Nashville, we remain of the opinion that UK property companies are behind the US. The industry can catch up, but individual organisations will need to commit to sharing more of their data to enable better market transparency and efficiency.
 

5.  The student housing market has piqued our interest in 2019, as there’s no set fee structure for its management. Having always been an alternative market, student housing seems to be forging its own path, untethered by traditional thinking.


6.  Our ReTour in July confirmed what we predicted in 2017 and highlighted that having good cycle parking provision in a building not only adds to the wellbeing of staff but can be a differentiator in a competitive property and recruitment market.


7.  Excitingly the market does seem to have recognised and be reacting to this, as we detailed in our summer frontispiece, ‘Property cycle highlights industry challenges’.  2019 has seen a clear rise in investors and developers prioritising cycling facilities in their buildings. Sustainability, mental health, staff wellbeing and talent retention all play a key role in this decision-making.


8.  One of the hot topics from our October REMark Survey, was rent collection by Direct Debit – only 15% of all rent due is collected by Direct Debit or standing order.


9.  Unissu reported that total global PropTech funding surpassed $934m in October 2019 alone. This brings the total for 2019 (as of October) to just under $13 billion, across 454 individual funding events.


10.  Our November frontispiece, entitled ‘Leading edge, or bleeding edge? ’ explored 5G and its use in the present day. Although 5G is still in the early stages of deployment and many will not yet feel its effects (especially as many devices are not yet enabled), property companies are beginning to take it into consideration in their futureproofing strategies.
 

11.  Predictions from PlaceTech in November suggested that by 2025, there will have been an exponential rise in the volume and importance of data - a fifth of data gathered will be ‘hypercritical’ and a further tenth as ‘critical’. This sheer volume of essential data starts to negate the economic benefits we currently gain from using the cloud, and thus new storage solutions will come to the fore.
 

12.  Lastly, despite all of these 2019 tech developments, McKinsey have told us that by 2030, more than 66% of purchases will still occur in physical stores, and in-store experience will have a bearing on even more transactions. This offers great scope for PropTech to help to shape a better physical future, and for retailers to capitalise on more personalisation in store, where currently only 10% of retailers are differentiating themselves by doing so.

Click here to sign up to our quarterly newsletters!

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REMark 2019: "Property managers have just five years to adapt if they are to remain relevant"

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Investors, fed up with the status quo, are willing to take risks on new business models.

The current model of property management is no longer fit for purpose and traditional property managers have five years to adapt if they are to remain relevant, according to the latest REMark report from Remit Consulting, the biennial study that benchmarks the performance of the property management sector in the UK.

Andrew Waller of Remit Consulting said, "Two years ago the REMark report highlighted the need for property managers to adapt their models to meet the expectations of their clients regarding the deluge of data being generated from buildings, tenants, and customers. We also suggested that, because they are the only party that has a complete overview, property managers should look to take control and administer all property data.

“Two years down the line a number of progressive businesses are addressing the issue, but they are the exception rather than the rule. Many property managers are still showing no sign of wanting to evolve and, with much of their role being automated, we estimate that property management businesses need to adapt quickly if they are still to be relevant by the middle of the next decade.

“The latest REMark report confirms that the frustration of landlords, and the continuing animosity between them and service providers, has not lessened. The report reveals that investors are increasingly frustrated by inefficient and out of date property management models.

“The availability of affordable technology solutions has given property owners the ability to structure the services that they need in a different way. This is exposing gaps in the traditional business models of most property management companies. As one commentator said earlier in the year, ‘The property manager simply gets in the way of digitising the company’.

“This might not be fair, but it reflects the mood of many investors who are increasingly looking at taking asset, property and facilities management in-house so that they can control all aspects of the customer experience,” he added.

According to the REMark report, the volume of data regarding occupiers has exposed failings of existing models, which are being addressed by new business models and entrants into the property management market. The report highlights that this summer, following its declaration that the traditional property management model was broken, Legal & General Investment Management announced a new property and facilities management structure. At the same time, several other Fund Management firms, struggling to define new ways of working within the confines of an asset management structure, which has not changed in generations, have started programmes to review the way they deal with property management in its broadest sense and kick started conversations amongst UK managing agents on where the sector is going.

The REMark report identifies various new models, some of which have developed outside the property industry while others have evolved through a need to change but where the property owner lacked funds to invest.

Rent Collection

Elsewhere in the REMark report, Remit looked again at how efficient the property management sector is at collecting rents on time, comparing performance against previous reports.

Compared to the last report in 2017, it seems as though there has been no further improvement and the industry still struggles to collect 80% of rents on the due date.  The report considers why this is the case.

“One of our survey questions was regarding the use of direct debit as a method of rent collection,” said Steph Yates of Remit Consulting,

“It transpired that just 16% of residential rent is collected by direct debit and nearly 60% of the survey’s participants said that none of their residential rent was collected by this method.

“While direct debits hold clear advantages for landlords, at the moment there is no real incentive for tenants to sign up to pay rent by direct debit. There might be lessons to be learnt from the utility sector, which often offers money off bills in return for setting up and continuing direct debit payments.  When it is considered that 56% of customers pay their energy bill by direct debit we have to ask whether the property sector could offer something similar in return for reduced costs?

Rent & Service Charge Performance

When it comes to the collection of Service Charges the REMark report highlights that while collection levels on the due date have increased since 2017, the overall collection has decreased with only 95% of service charges being collected within 120 days (compared to 99% in 2015). This can cause problems for landlords when it comes to funding the shortfall particularly in increasingly uncertain market conditions that may result in more disputes, a reduced ability of tenants to pay and longer collection periods.

“Since REMark 2017, the big change in service charges is that the RICS Code of Practice is now a Professional Statement, marking the change from guidance to mandatory obligations for all members,” said Steph Yates.

“However, the reconciliation period is not mandatory and the REMark report reveals that 23% of respondents said that it takes them over four months, with reconciliation periods of over of 30 weeks not unheard of.”

“This could be a result of a number of things, including the trend for tenants to question and fight service charges - which has come back with a vengeance, particularly among large retailers - meaning an increased number of weeks as more scrutiny is taken over the accounts before issue,” she added.

Customer service

Inspired by the likes of WeWork and new technology, even traditional landlords are realising the value that can be added to their portfolios by treating tenants as ‘customers’ and by providing them with premium services. They are increasingly looking beyond the basic customer service and are setting off in competitive pursuit of the elusive ‘customer experience’.

The result has been an increased focus upon ‘front of house’ activities: building managers, receptionists, security personnel, etc, and it is clear that standards have risen dramatically in recent years. Progressive property managers have improved training and often recruit from the hospitality and hotel sectors.

This year’s REMark report reveals that 62% of the respondents now employ a dedicated ‘customer service manager’.

This is an important step forward,” said Charles Woollam of Remit Consulting.

“However, it is curious that only three-quarters of them are in full-time roles. This may imply that some landlords believe that creating customer experiences, and promoting best practice customer service, is only a part-time role,” he adds.

To find out more or participate in REMark, please contact Steph Yates.

Leading edge, or bleeding edge?

We’ve spent years encouraging the industry to embrace new technologies, look to the future and innovate advances but, as with all good things, perhaps this is best in moderation.

We have watched in earnest as 5G communications have launched with Vodafone, Three, EE and O2 in London over the last few months.

Proponents of 5G argue that 4G will struggle to cope with increasing demands from the growing number of devices that demand internet access. The TV ads told us that 5G will let us use Augmented and Virtual Reality (AR and VR) through our smart phones which will revolutionise our daily lives with “immersive experiences”.

5G is predicted to offer advancements in speed, coverage and reliability, particularly because of “network slicing”. Network slicing allows the network to be split into different segments, and separated for specific purposes; for example allowing Emergency Services to have connectivity unaffected by everything else around them. This system of layers also allows video and other media at concerts, for example, to travel through different channels to the fire alarm system in the building, meaning that the two very different but important pieces of information do not interfere with one another.

Of course, the US is already further ahead and there were a number of suppliers with stands at Realcomm in Nashville this year – digital backbones in new buildings are now commonplace and some are already powered by 5G comms. And in the UK we have already been asked about our views on 5G in the built environment by forward looking property investors.

5G is the latest in a long line of innovative technologies – blockchain, AI, Virtual Reality – that can revolutionise the way we live and work. Individually they are fun to look at and some of the applications are very impressive. But we are probably looking at them through the wrong end of the telescope. What we mean is that we have no idea how to apply these revolutions because we are looking at the property industry as a whole and trying to spot where to apply a solution – rather than, more effectively, spotting areas of business that must improve and then picking a single solution.

The most successful Proptech companies have harnessed technology to solve a problem, rather than focused on the technology first. Indeed, at a panel we organised at the London Realcomm CIO Forum, we talked for nearly an hour about customer experience without once mentioning technology. The best technology is invisible.

The US technology suppliers at Realcomm were candid and told us that the first big implementations of 5G will be in stadiums where there is a need for low level building systems to work alongside the requirement for media and press photograph files. Outside this, 4G will probably suffice for a while.

This might give most of us the chance to perfect the basics such as reporting, workflow, and customer service – for example, rent collection is still at less than 80% on the due date (new Remit REMark report) - before having to embrace immersive customer experiences.

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EXPO REAL 2019

Highlights from Andrew Waller, Hans Gerritsen and Katherine Lewis’ experience at this year’s EXPO REAL conference in Munich

Andrew’s Speech on PropTech at the Holland Metropole Stand

Our firm has spanned two innovation eras – the Dotcom era and the PropTech era. My Dutch Partner, Hans Gerritsen, and I span a much greater number of years and I introduced the first spreadsheets into Healey and Baker (now Cushman & Wakefield).

Guess what? 30 years later, we are all still using spreadsheets and many of us aren’t even sharing them properly.

So, here are my 5 tips for making a change.

1.       Why isn’t building data analysis central to all property management? The property manager is the central point for all property data – they get the leases, the rents, the maintenance details, the complaints. They keep it in spreadsheets and in their heads. They then struggle to report it. In the survey we are about to publish, we find very few property managers have hired data analysts and very few clients are asking them for better data. It will change, but it isn’t happening fast enough

2.       Data is transforming business models. Think about how to make a real difference to your business to your customers:

a.       At one UK investor, they have been using retail data from their malls to predict tenant failure up to two years ahead – that gives them time to sell them a lease surrender whilst they still have money.

b.       A property company in the US analyses retail mall performance, identifies a target, and lines up better tenants for the mall before buying it. This is all done from data, not gut feel. Once they have changed the tenants and increased the value, they sell it on.

c.       One estate agency in the UK will back up their valuation of your house by watching its performance on the market over the first month. If it’s not sold by then, they will give you their valuation, continue the sales process and when sold, they will give you any excess. That costs an extra 1% - a cheap way of bridging.

3.       Where do you start? In digital, almost anything could be possible so set what you think is an unachievable goal – WP Carey in the US calls it their Moonshot: The JFK “man on the moon” speech. Their decision to change reporting so that they could track real-time net asset value was achieved despite not being able to report it quarterly when they started. They achieved this because they looked at a step change, not incremental improvements. They also have technology on their side – Moore’s Law says that technology will double in power every 18 months and it has helped people like WP Carey, and Google achieve ambitious goals as the problem gets easier to solve over time.

4.       Property managers get in the way. This isn’t just me having a pop at property managers – the entire traditional pyramid of service providers stops the investor getting close to his customers – be they tenants or occupiers or consumers. We are seeing companies as large as Legal & General and Aviva in the UK entirely change the traditional structures so that they can be part of the customer relationship. We also see the big US investors developing all their new services in house so that they have better control. Investors want to be able to access all this new data and quickly implement changes to benefit customers, and the traditional model with several layers of management doesn’t give us this. It also confuses the technology model – property managers have to transfer data to many different systems and complexity is the enemy of agility.

5.       The big tech companies are coming (at last). Last time the big tech came after property was when the enterprise systems – JBOPS – built real estate into their systems (badly). But that was trying to replicate the complexities of billing systems which already existed. Microsoft and Google are now capturing building and customer data into their systems – Microsoft had 12 partner firms exhibiting at Realcomm in the US rolling out Azure and Dynamics as solutions at building. These types of systems barely exist in the Real Estate world. And it is this data that will start to drive the value of our real estate – the traditional Real Estate systems are becoming so automated and commoditised that they will not help you differentiate your offer. IF Microsoft puts as much effort into selling Real Estate systems in Europe as they are in the US, we may see a very different relationship with our technology in real estate.

I have a sixth point – learn to enjoy being consciously incompetent. You only realise that you know a lot about IT when you say, “I’m sorry, I don’t know anything about that”. There are many different technologies and thousands of clever people who can do this with you.

And finally, to quote one of my colleagues, your strategy, taking account of all the above should be: “Consolidate, Simplify, Centralise”

Property cycle highlights industry challenges

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Velocity’s summary article: velocitymagazine.co.uk/remit-tour-ass…

PlaceTech’s summary article: placetech.net/analysis/upwar…

Over twenty property professionals and staff participated in Remit Consulting’s second annual ReTour event on Friday 19th April - a cycle tour of eight office properties in central London allowing them to experience first-hand the facilities properties offer for cyclists as commuters.

Starting at 4 Pancras Square in Kings Cross the cycle tour included new and remodelled properties in Midtown, The City and Docklands and revealed the challenges to the office sector brought about by the increase in numbers of people cycling to work and the need for innovation and proactive property management.

Remit Consulting’s director Neil Webster said: “The ReTour event provided an opportunity for members of the commercial property sector to experience cycling facilities from the perspective of an occupier. The event allowed those participating to get a real idea of what people who cycle to work have to put up with in the offices our industry designs, builds and manages."

In 2017, Remit Consulting and the British Council of Offices (BCO) published ‘The Market Cycles’, a report that looked at the rise of cycling and its impact on office specification and investment. The report predicted that the existing infrastructure and properties would come under increasing pressure due to the increasing volume of cyclists and that office buildings would begin to compete not only in terms of quantity of the cycle spaces provided but also with regard to quality in the form of drying rooms, locker solutions and shower provision.

“Cycling, and running, to work is on the increase as an alternative to increasingly crowded public transport systems and commuting by bike is being actively encouraged in towns and cities up and down the country. This is important, as getting more people to use bicycles is positive for both health and congestion reasons. Making it easy for staff to cycle to work can also make a difference for businesses in the war for talent and encourages greater engagement within the working community,” said Neil.

“This year’s ReTour confirmed what we predicted in 2017 and highlighted that having good cycling provision in a building can be a differentiator in a competitive market. Argent’s 4 Pancrass Square is a prime example.

“It is also clear that while having poor provision might tick the BREAM/GRESB boxes it can actually waste valuable space in a property and money,” he added.

Remit Consulting's partner Andrew Waller said: “Two years on from our report, it is clear that both developers and investors are taking the question of cycling facilities far more seriously. Our cycling inspection tour revealed not only a number of great ideas and innovations but also showed what can be achieved in older buildings that were not originally built with the needs of cyclists in mind.

“The ReTour event highlighted that the rise of bicycle commuting is not only a challenge to building design but that it is increasingly becoming a property management issue. It is not only a question of access and security but adapting to the ways in which cycling is changing and the variety of cycle designs. When it comes to bicycle racks, one size does not fit all and the best approach is to provide a range of solutions. Watling House close to St Paul’s Cathedral is a fine example of how this can be done and the building managers have installed five different types of storage solutions.

“The rising popularity of electric bikes is another area that property managers need to pay attention to. Only a few weeks ago the government’s Cycle to Work guidance was updated to include e-bikes and there is likely to be a surge in demand for charging points within office buildings.”

Neil Webster added: “With the UK government looking to double cycling activity over the next five years, it is clear that the property sector needs to play its part by providing, and managing, commercial properties that bring tangible benefits to the health and wellbeing of occupiers and our environment.

“This changing landscape was perhaps best illustrated on ReTour by Brookfield Properties’ 97,000 sq ft development at 100 Bishopsgate which, when completed this year, will provide 900 cycle spaces, but only parking for four cars,” he concluded.

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Andrew Waller’s eight take-aways from Realcomm 2019

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Remit Consulting’s Andrew Waller recently pulled on his cowboy boots and attended Realcomm 2019 in Nashville, Tennessee. Here are his observations:

When the Global Head of Corporate Development at Brookfield Properties proclaims that we are entering the “Quant Real Estate Era”, you know that it is time to sit up and pay attention. Kevin Danehy was speaking at the 21st Realcomm conference in Nashville, Tennessee where the increasing amount of property data and the need to analyse it was central to every discussion.

At a time when some senior property figures are beginning to question the value of PropTech, Realcomm showcased the value that innovation has brought to US real estate investors and their portfolios around the world. The 2,500 attendees enjoyed three days of discussions involving 150 speakers from across the international real estate market.

1. Why isn’t building data analysis central to all property management?

Having been exposed to a huge number of case studies of data saving significant money across US portfolios, those attending the conference were left questioning why, when the value of the data is now greater than the cost of the device being monitored, building data analysis isn’t central to all property management? As one delegate said: “Just try leaving a broken HVAC unit running for a year and see how much additional cost it adds.”

2. Data is transforming business models

While the quick wins are coming at the building level, the more forward-thinking companies are using data to change their business models, too.

A prime example of this is Florida based Woolbright Development, which is using public data sources to analyse the performance of shopping malls. When they uncover a mall that they think can be improved, they line up potential new tenants that their analysis of data regarding retailers reveals should benefit the investment, before acquiring it. They then use the results of their data analysis to improve the asset before selling it on. The data backed business case makes it easier to take decisions and get consensus from at board level. A further advantage is that the Woolbright team can cover far larger markets than they would with only feet on the ground.

A further example of good practice is the work of Oxford Properties, which now builds a digital infrastructure into every building, saving on the costs of retrofitting and providing an immediate competitive advantage with the high-quality tenants they are seeking to attract.

3. PMs can be a barrier to digital transformation

Most of the stories of innovation and growth that emerged at Realcomm were where the investor has in house resources. With one investor admitting privately that they haven’t yet worked out how to deliver similar digital change through their property managers, it seems that PM’s are sometimes a barrier to innovation for some of the largest investors.

CBRE had a large stand at the exhibition, setting out its vision of the future centred on ‘Hana’ (a flexible workspace product) and ‘Host’ (customer experience). It will be interesting to see how its clientele differs from those at the leading edge who are choosing to build their own.

4. Where should ambitious businesses start their digital transformation?

All the commentators at Reallcomm had different points of view and each company will have its own priorities. For some, it will be security and privacy all the way – nothing will be done that puts the buildings at risk or brings the investor into conflict with tenants and users with privacy concerns. Setting up a data governance framework is a good first step. For others, identifying the objectives of gathering the data is key, asking “what outcomes do you hope to address?”

In the case of WP Carey, the fund management company, it set itself an ambitious target, described as a “JFK ‘man on the moon speech” moment, and it was decided that it needed to be able to report live-time NAV. At the time, the team was struggling to report NAV quarterly but the target had the effect of galvanising the whole real estate investment group behind the initiative and significantly pushed the project along.

5.  IT department should guide, not lead, digital transformation

What became apparent from all the case studies is cases is that to be successful, it is imperative that sponsorship is from outside the IT department – although keeping its members integrated into the process saves many mistakes and helps avoid increased costs.

6. The industry is challenged by security, privacy, poor data and HR

The problems faced by the industry were also highlighted at the conference with cyber threats are top of the list. It appears that insurers are still unsure how to tackle these risks.

Privacy is also a big issue with GDPR being used as guidance, even in the US where it doesn’t apply. In Honk Kong investors are talking of setting their own, even stronger, policies so as not to upset their tenants.

The paucity of data was also tackled at Realcomm where it was highlighted that real estate data “has many columns but few rows”. In some cases, however, this has been turned to an advantage because the columns can be combined to solve unique problems.

A further topic of discussion was the Human Resource challenges faced by the real estate industry. Not only is the industry in the US suffering from low unemployment, but the staff needed with data skills are also being mopped up by other industries. The need to make these roles attractive to non-traditional hires was highlighted.

7. Look beyond real estate to see the future.

There were two new pavilions at the Realcomm exhibition with Microsoft Azure providers showing that this big player sees real estate as a major plank in its strategy of being central to all data.

In addition, there was a 5G pavilion that demonstrated how digital backbones are being put into new buildings to facilitate the extremes of large amounts of regular sensor data, coupled with the bandwidth which may be needed for augmented reality and media over wireless. While this will largely be rolled out to stadiums at first, these technologies are already being included in buildings in the US for use by tenants.

8. I am consciously incompetent

Realcomm holds a UK CIO forum each October in London and snippets from these sessions will be presented there – nevertheless, the pace of adoption by these leaders suggests that the conscious incompetence I felt by the end of the three days will be shared by many more as time goes on.

Click here to read Andrew’s article for the Estates Gazette.

Are "Prop-striches" taking their heads out of the data sand?

 
 

The industry is waking up to the exciting possibilities that using data, both big and small, can offer. Its quaint, traditional, slow to change tide is turning, and we have a real opportunity to make something of our information for the industry as a whole, before the tech companies beat us to it!

Data is everywhere; from GDPR’s looming first birthday, to footfall data on the high street, and issues logs generated in offices, information is indisputably being generated. Our recent RICS Data Paper, found that there is four times as much data available than there was five years ago. Merely having data though, is not enough. In fact, there is an arrogance to having data with the potential to improve our business and industry and not using it. The idea that gut feel and tradition are better than hard facts does not fly in our changing world. Evidenced by the shift we’re seeing from the property industry of yesteryear, towards a more serious direction; even at MIPIM, there were far fewer rose-fuelled business lunches on the Croissette, and far more data exploitation. One technology company we spoke to had successfully mined the attendance lists and had scheduled seventy meetings over the three days they were there. Even at a networking level, data is leading the charge, and the property industry must take steps to get its nose back in front of the technology companies.

And we’re getting there! After years of preaching the virtues of good clean data, through our 2017 RICS Paper, our PAM and PM Forums, and most recently, our RICS Data Paper, Remit is delighted to see a move towards using it. Money is being spent all over the industry on gathering data, cleaning it and most importantly, using it to our advantage. In Real Estate Finance, MIPIM 2019 saw Cloudscraper Exchange a global integrated and institutional grade real estate trading platform, designed to use data analytics and AI, for buying, selling and mainly financing real estate assets.


In addition to this, American financing firm Kabbage, is offering loans to small businesses, by using alternative data, including social history, to inform its lending decision making. Property Managers are able to predict late payers by tracking their payment date history, and reacting when a normally very early payer seems to be butting up against due date, to establish the cause of later payment, and resolve it, before due date is missed.

These ideas are exciting and revolutionary in themselves, but the biggest change will come from a collaborative effort to mine clean and accurate data for use across the industry.

In the Netherlands, there is effort being made to create a data eco-system, across which to share data for the benefit of all. At our recent Associates Meeting, Frank Kerstens, Head of Innovation at ABN Amro, made the point that ‘everyone needs the data, but no single company can afford to do what needs to be done’. Importantly also, would any single company with to fund an initiative which will benefit its competitors as much as itself? A centralized database would be a better solution, with incentivised participation (or penalized lack of it). Centralised databases, such as SBR Nexus in the Netherlands, are offering this vital opportunity to share data, and the UK can certainly learn from this. In our Data Paper, 48% of respondents said that they would like more market data, while 38% said that one of the biggest bars to progress was data sharing problems. In this, Henry Ford’s teamworking quotation springs to mind; ‘if everyone is moving forward together, then success takes care of itself’.

Property sector "at a tipping point" says RICS Report

Remit Consulting’s “The use and value of commercial property data” report published by RICS

The property industry appears to be at a tipping point as it adapts to the realities of a digital world and the exponential growth of the amount of available data concerning real estate, according to a study written by Remit Consulting and published by the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors. The report’s authors suggest that it is no longer enough simply to possess data; the value lies in being able to use it.

Based on a survey of property professionals from around the world, ‘The use and value of commercial property data’ report analyses the challenges faced by chartered surveyors and property professionals at a time when huge volumes of data, concerning all aspects of property and property markets, is becoming easily accessible to everyone. The report considers the ownership of data, its security and regulation. It also makes predictions and recommendations for the future of a property world full of accurate, easily available data.

The report’s key findings suggest that:

  • Those who can analyse data and bring added value to their clients will have an advantage over their competitors

  • To many in the property sector, the sharing of data remains an alien concept

  • Market data that has been available for sale has often been considered poor quality

  • Many valuers do not trust the accuracy of others’ data and are not comfortable relying on it alone

  • Chartered surveyors and other property professionals are having to use skills beyond the traditional surveying competencies

  • The value of simply owning, or having access to data, will decline

Andrew Waller of Remit Consulting said: “The property sector has, for too long, relied on relatively closed markets and cosy relationships. We are now seeing data experts from other fields, experienced in analysing data in markets not familiar to them, increasingly looking at property market data. This is giving these ‘outsiders’ an opportunity to look for value within real estate.”

Neil Webster, of Remit Consulting, co-author of the report agrees. “Technology is improving at an exponential rate, which means that information, which is currently unavailable, will rapidly become accessible by anyone.

“The future lies in having real estate information within a database that can be dissected and interpreted, rather than kept in the heads of professionals.”

Remit Consulting’s Rebecca Ewart agrees: “While market information and data has traditionally been retained in the heads of agents and brokers, as it becomes more available, surveyors and property professionals will increasingly access data in real time, allowing them to add value through analysis. The true property expert will be the one who uses data well, rather than the one who just remembers it,” she said.

Paul Bagust, Global Property Standards Director of the RICS said: “In a market where information concerning real estate is growing exponentially is stored in the cloud and is made available instantly on mobile devices, this is a very important and timely report for our members and the industry as a whole.

“What is clear is that, as a profession, we need to attract graduates, and members, with experience and backgrounds in data science. We also need to develop data standards for the property industry that are globally applicable and open-sourced.

“More and more, increasingly accurate, data is becoming available from third-party suppliers and while there is no doubt that owning a dataset of transactions is advantageous, comprehensive property data from a range of different sources will rapidly become available to everyone. That might take two, five or even 15 years. What is certain is that to prosper, chartered surveyors will need to adapt to a market dominated by data.”

Click here to download the report.